Keir Starmer, the current Prime Minister of the UK, acquired his position in 2024 following one of the most monumental General Election wins in history. Since then, he has been met with lots of criticism from other party leaders and the general public, which has led to some speculation about his future as the Prime Minister of the UK.
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The next Prime Minister will be the leader of the party that wins the most seats in the most recent UK General Election. This is exactly how Keir Starmer earned his position as Prime Minister in 2024.
Now, in order for Keir Starmer to be removed as the Prime Minister before the next General Election, there are two possible outcomes. One of these is known as a 'Mid-term handover', which would involve Kier resigning as the leader of the Labour Party, with a successor then being elected. This successor will then become the Prime Minister, commanding a majority in the House of Commons.
While mid-term handovers are not overly common in politics, they can occur, which is why the current Prime Minister's betting odds display a variety of Labour candidates towards the top.
As for the other possibility, this would occur through a vote of no confidence in the current government, which could trigger an immediate General Election (Also known as a snap election). The leader of the winning party in this General Election would then become the next Prime Minister.
Of course, a General Election must also occur, at maximum, every 5 years in the UK, with the next one being held no later than Wednesday the 15th of August 2029.
According to the latest UK Prime Minister odds, Nigel Farage is the favourite. He is the current leader of the Reform UK Party, which is also the current favourite party to win the next General Election. Should they be successful in their campaign with Farage remaining the leader, he will be the next Prime Minister of the UK.
Farage is followed by a list of Labour Party candidates, in the form of Angela Rayner, Wes Streeting, and Yvette Cooper, all of whom have roles within government at the time of writing. The fifth favourite is the leader of the Conservative Party, Kemi Badenoch, who many people think will represent the party when the next General Election is called.
Here's a look at all the current favourites to become the UK Prime Minister, as per the current political betting odds:
Keir Starmer is the most recent UK Prime Minister, being the first one to represent Labour since Gordon Brown's 2007 to 2010 stint, with the country having a Conservative PM since then.
Here's a look at the most recent UK Prime Ministers, spanning back to the turn of the century:
Prime Minister | Start Date | End Date | Party |
Keir Starmer | 5th of July 2024 | Incumbent | Labour |
Rishi Sunak | 25th of October 2022 | 5th of July 2025 | Conservative |
Liz Truss | 6th of September 2022 | 25th of October 2022 | Conservative |
Boris Johnson | 24th of July 2019 | 6th of September 2022 | Conservative |
Theresa May | 13th of July 2016 | 24th of July 2019 | Conservative |
David Cameron | 11th of May 2010 | 13th of July 2016 | Conservative |
Gordon Brown | 27th of June 2007 | 11th of May 2010 | Labour |
Tony Blair | 2nd of May 1997 | 27th of June 2007 | Labour |
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