We’ve arrived at the final game of a three-match set between the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-41) and the Boston Red Sox (53-44). The game will take place at the home of the Dodgers – the Dodger Stadium – and first pitch is due to take place at 7.10 p.m. ET on Sunday evening.
In the first game of the three-game series, the Dodgers triumphed by winning 4-1 against the Red Sox. It got them off to a winning start and put them in a commanding position, which they then followed up by recording a 7-6 victory over the Red Sox last night. They’re now 2-0 in the series and are looking good to make it 3-0.
As you will naturally expect, the Dodgers are strongly favoured here, with the moneyline set at -120. If there had been a repeat of the 4-1 or if the result last night wasn’t as close as it was, the moneyline would have favoured the Dodgers more. The Red Sox are +100 with the moneyline. The Dodgers will call on James Paxton in this one (7-2), and it will be Kutter Crawford (6-7) for the Red Sox.
In last night’s 7-6 Dodgers win, it was Blake Treinen who earned the all important win. The offense was led by Kike Hernandez, who went two for three with a home run and two RBI. Greg Weissert took the defeat for the Red Sox.
Betting Insights
- Favoured eighty-nine times this season, the Dodgers have won fifty-five of those contests, which is a 61.8% success rate.
- When the moneyline has had the Dodgers favoured by at least -120, their record has been 52-30.
- The moneyline with sportsbooks suggests the likelihood of a Dodgers win and to make the series 3-0 in their favour is 54.6%.
- The Red Sox have been underdogs on forty-six occasions this season, winning twenty-four of those games, which is 52.2%.
- When the moneyline is +100 or worse, the Red Sox have a record of 17-18 this season.
- The moneyline indicates the implied probability of the Red Sox winning this contest is 50%.
The Prediction
What do we know already? Well, we know the Dodgers won the first game of the series 4-1, and then they won last night 7-6. So, they’re 2-0, they’re looking good, and the real likelihood here is that they will turn the 2-0 into 3-0, and it will be a whitewash in their favour.
However, after the 4-1 victory in game one, game two was a much closer run thing, and the Red Sox are going to want to at least get one victory on the board before the series finishes. But can they do it?
We’re not so sure, and we’re going to tip another Dodgers win. But a close one. 5-4 to the Dodgers wouldn’t be a surprise. We’re also going to tie that together with advocating for under nine runs in this one, even though last night there were thirteen.
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