The clash between the Chicago Cubs (49-53) and the Milwaukee Brewers (57-43) on Tuesday evening at Wrigley Field will be the second of a three-game series between the two teams. The Cubs won game one, and the Brewers will be aiming to get back on level terms following the first pitch, which is scheduled for 8.05 p.m. ET.
The Cubs were strong favourites head of game one, and that’s not going to change for game two of the three-game set. At present, they’re -118 on the moneyline, with the Brewers coming in at -102. This contest is expected to be a close one, and the Cubs will start and rely on Jameson Taillon (7-4). The Brewers will call on Colin Rea (9-3).
Last night, the Cubs ran out 3-1 victors over the Brewers, with Drew Smyly (1.2 IP, 0 R, 1 H and 0 K) securing the win for the home side. Ian Happ was on hand to lead the offense, as he went one for four with a home run and an RBI. It was Tobias Myers (5.1 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 6 K) who took the loss for the Brewers.
Betting Insights
- This season, there have been forty-three instances of the Cubs being selected as the favourites. They’ve won twenty-one times as favourites, which is 48.8%.
- When they’ve been favoured by -118 or more this term, which has been thirty-five times, the Cubs have a record of 19 wins and 16 defeats.
- According to the moneyline at sportsbooks, the implied chance of a win for the Cubs in game two of the three-game series is 54.1%.
- From the forty-five games they’ve played as the underdogs this season, the Brewers have picked up twenty-three wins, which is a 51.1% conversion of the underdog status rate.
- When the Brewers have been -102 or worse this season, which has been thirty-six times and counting, they’ve won twenty out of thirty-six, which isn’t bad at all.
- The moneyline implies there’s a 50.5% chance that the Brewers will level up the series with victory over the Cubs tonight.
The Prediction
There have been some quite straightforward predictions to make of late, but this one in particular is challenging for many reasons. Yes, the Cubs were triumphant last night by a scoreline of 3-1, but there’s never been much to separate the two teams on paper.
Picking a winner is difficult, and a scoreline more so, but we’re going to sat that it will be the Cubs who run out winners once again. However, we think it will be a higher-scoring game, and there will be less in it, which will make for an interesting third game.
The Cubs to win and to win by a scoreline of 5-4 is the way we’re currently going, and then you can take that and apply it to the over/under market. There were four runs in total yesterday, and we predict double that as a minimum this evening.
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