The Chicago Cubs (48-53) and the Milwaukee Brewers (57-42), both of the National League Central in Major League Baseball, meet for the first game of a three-contest set on Monday evening at Wrigley Field, with the first pitch set to happen at 8.05 p.m.
Any matchup between the Cubs and the Brewers is predicted to be a tight one, and this is evidenced by the moneyline being set at -115 for the Brewers against -105 for the Cubs. Tobias Myers (603) will start for the former, and Javier Assad (403) for the latter.
Both teams come into this three-game series on the back of a victory. The Cubs were triumphant in a 2-1 win over the Diamondbacks yesterday. Hector Neris was on hand to get the win, with his single inning striking one out while not giving up a hit or an earned run. Nico Hoerner was one for four with a double and an RBI. He led the offense.
The Brewers edged out the Wins in an 8-7 win yesterday. Eric Hasse led matters offensively for the Brewers, as he went three four for with two homers and two RBI. Jared Koenig picked up the victory for the Brewers with his inning striking one. He gave up no earned runs.
Betting Insights
- There have been fifty-six contests where the Cubs have been the underdogs this season, and they’ve won twenty-five, or 44.6%, of those games.
- When sportsbooks have the moneyline set at -106 or worse in terms of the Cubs being the underdogs, which has been fifty times this term, the Cubs have won twenty-two times.
- The implied probability of a Cubs win, according to the moneyline, is 51.5%.
- The Brewers have been favourites fifty-three times this season and have come out on top as favourites thirty-three times—a win rate of 62.3%.
- When the moneyline at sportsbooks has favoured the Brewers by at least -114 this season, the Brewer’s record stands at 32-20.
- Looking at the moneyline at sportsbooks, the implied likelihood of a Brewers win against the Cubs is 53.3%.
The Prediction
As we mentioned right at the top, this is going to be a tight contest, and it’s incredibly difficult to split the Cubs and the Brewers, especially in game one of a three-game series. And, while also considering this is two teams coming into the game on the back of a win yesterday.
However, we are going to try and split them and make a prediction all the same. All things considered, we believe the likely winner, although it remains hard to call, will be the Brewers. And we’re going to put forward a 5-4 win for them in game one.
It’s not a confident prediction at this stage, but what we’re more confident about is putting forward that there will be runs in this one, and you could be looking at over 8 or over 8.5. Bear in mind the Brewers won yesterday against the Twins 8-7.
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