Is it finally the year that the Buffalo Bills can put it all together and break the curse? With the NFL’s reigning MVP leading the way, the Bills have one of the highest betting odds of winning the Super Bowl in 2026, according to most Canadian sportsbooks. However, betting odds do not necessarily translate to a team’s success on the field, and no team knows this more than the Bills.
For Canadian bettors, the Bills are always an interesting case study. They have the personnel to get it done and dominate in the regular season. But once the playoffs roll around, Buffalo has not been able to slay the dragon that is the Kansas City Chiefs. Could this finally be the year?
This article will provide a betting preview of the Bills’ season and how the betting markets view the team in 2025.
Buffalo Bills 2024 Season Review
Although the Bills won their fifth consecutive AFC East title, the result of the season played like a broken record for Buffalo fans. The Bills lost to the Kansas City Chiefs for the fourth time in the past five postseasons, after defeating both the Denver Broncos and Baltimore Ravens in earlier rounds. Buffalo posted a regular-season record of 13-4 and a postseason record of 2-1.
The bright spot was quarterback Josh Allen’s first career NFL MVP award. Allen threw for 3,731 yards and 28 touchdowns with just six interceptions. He also rushed 102 times for 531 yards and 12 touchdowns on the ground. Allen beat out AFC rival Lamar Jackson of the Ravens to win the award.
Bills to Win the AFC East Division
To nobody’s surprise, the Bills are heavy favourites to win the AFC East Division once again.
At BetVictor Canada, the Bills have preseason posted odds of -300 to win the AFC East. How do these odds compare against the rest of the division?
- Buffalo Bills -300
- New England Patriots +500
- Miami Dolphins +600
- New York Jets +1800
The Bills get off to a tough start in the regular season, taking on the Super Bowl favourite Baltimore Ravens, in week one. Week nine marks the start of a tough stretch, with Buffalo taking on the Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Houston Texans, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals, New England Patriots, Cleveland Browns, and Philadelphia Eagles in consecutive weeks.
Despite some turnover in New York and New England, both teams are likely still a couple of years away from challenging the Bills. If Miami can stay healthy, they have the pieces to surprise Buffalo, but heading into the season, the AFC East division is theirs to lose.
To Win Both Games Versus Each Division Rival
Last season, the Bills went 5-1 within the AFC East division. The lone loss came against the Patriots in Week 18, when the Bills were resting their starters.
In three of the first five games this year, the Bills will face off against each division rival. After that, the second games against division rivals come in Week 10, 15, and 18. That Week 18 game against the Jets could be a repeat of last year’s loss if the Bills have the AFC East division locked up by then.
Odds for the Bills to win both games against the:
- New York Jets -163
- New England Patriots -125
- Miami Dolphins -143
Buffalo is still the betting favourite to win both matchups against each division rival. The betting market is viewing the New England Patriots as the Bills’ toughest division foe this year, with odds of just -125 to win both games. In Week 5, the Bills will play the Patriots in the third of three consecutive home games in Buffalo. This game will be in prime time on Sunday Night Football. Then, in week 15, the Bills will head to Foxboro for the first of two consecutive road games. Neither game poses any difficulty in Buffalo’s schedule.
In Week 3, the Bills will play Miami in a short week on Thursday Night Football. This game is in Buffalo and comes four days after playing the Jets at MetLife Stadium. The second matchup is in Miami in Week 10, and has a danger of being a letdown game after the Bills play the Chiefs in Week 9.
Buffalo plays the Jets in Week 2 for their first road game of the season. The issue with taking this bet is the matchup in Week 18 when the Bills could be resting their starters ahead of the playoffs.
Alternatively, BetVictor Canada offers a betting market for Buffalo to win all six divisional games. Those odds are currently set at +350.
How Many Total Points Will the Bills Score This Season?
This is a relatively unique betting market that Canadians can enjoy at the BetVictor Canada sportsbook.
The online betting site has a total points over/under for the season for each NFL team. After breaking a franchise record for total points in a season in 2024, can the Bills’ offence continue to dominate the league in 2025? Here’s a look at some recent season point totals for the Bills:
| NFL Season | Buffalo Bills Total Points Scored |
| 2024 | 525 points (new franchise record) |
| 2023 | 451 points |
| 2022 | 455 points |
| 2021 | 483 points |
| 2020 | 501 points |
| 2019 | 314 points |
| 2018 | 269 points |
| 2017 | 302 points |
| 2016 | 399 points |
| 2015 | 379 points |
The current posted total points over/under for the Bills in 2025 is 460.5 points on BetVictor Canada.
There is no doubting how efficient Buffalo’s offence is, even after the star receiver Stefon Diggs left town. In his place, Khalil Shakir has emerged as a sure-handed replacement, with last year’s rookie Keon Coleman taking strides in his first full season. The Bills would love third-year tight end Dalton Kincaid to emerge after an injury-riddled 2024 campaign.
An underrated factor in how much a team’s offence can score is how strong their defence is. Is the team going to chase points or play catch-up? Or will they be killing the clock by running the ball and not worrying about building their lead? For the Bills, the defence added Joey Bosa and Larry Ogunjobi, but lost Micah Hyde, Von Miller, and Rasul Douglas.
Head Coach Sean McDermott has always deployed a solid bend-but-doesn’t-break defensive scheme. Bettors who are eyeing the Over on this total points bet will be hoping that the defence takes a step back, allowing Josh Allen and the offence to run wild.
Bills to Win the AFC Championship
The battle for the AFC Championship will be a dog fight this year. The Bills are in a three-way tie with the Baltimore Ravens and the Kansas City Chiefs as the favourites to represent the AFC in this year’s Super Bowl.
Buffalo is sitting at +350 to win the AFC Championship game this year, something the team has not done since 1994. The Bills were last in the AFC Championship game in 2020 when they lost to the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Bills certainly have the personnel to get to the AFC Championship game, but they’ll need to overcome the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens at some point in the playoffs.
Josh Allen Futures Splits
Here are some notable Josh Allen prop betting markets for the 2025 season:
- Quarterback with most passing yards: +1200
- Quarterback with most passing touchdowns: +1200
- Over/Under Regular Season passing yards: 3775.5 yards
- Over/Under Regular Season passing touchdowns: 27.5 touchdowns
- Player with most Regular Season rushing touchdowns: +1100
- Over/Under Regular Season total rushing yards: 500.5 yards
- NFL MVP Odds: +550
Allen has hit over 3,775 passing yards in four of the past five seasons. The only season he did not hit that mark was last year in 2024.
He has also rushed for more than 500 yards in six of his seven full seasons in the NFL, and passed for more than 27 touchdowns in each of the past five seasons.
Buffalo Bills FAQs
Yes, the Buffalo Bills won the AFC East Division in 2024. This marked the fifth consecutive season that the Bills have won the division and the thirteenth time in franchise history.
Josh Allen won his first NFL MVP award in 2024 and has the second-highest odds to win the award again in 2025. It would be the first time since 2020-2021 when Aaron Rodgers won back-to-back MVP awards.
It’s always difficult to predict which team will win a championship before the season starts. Currently, the betting markets are favouring three teams with the top odds to win: the Baltimore Ravens, the Buffalo Bills, and the Philadelphia Eagles all at +650.
