Stadio Olimpico | Nations League 2026-27 Group A1 | Friday, September 25 | 7:45pm BST
With both countries undergoing new eras with new personnel in charge, BetVictor News takes a closer look at the Italy vs Belgium odds – providing a detailed match preview, score prediction, overall H2H record, team news, the best betting angles and more.
- Italy vs Belgium prediction: Spoils shared in Rome
- Bet on the Nations League with BetVictor
Italy Vs Belgium Odds
The Italy vs Belgium Nations League odds imply a home win is the most likely outcome. Roberto Mancini’s side are 23/20, the draw is online at 12/5 with the Red Devils available at 2/1.
Ahead of the match, the Belgium vs Italy betting markets are online which include BTTS, O/U, anytime goalscorers, bet builders, bet boosts, correct score, Asian lines and many, many more.
Italy Vs Belgium Preview
Undertaking his second spell as Italy head coach, Roberto Mancini will be looking to get off to a winning start in Rome. The Euro 2020 victor replaced Gennaro Gattuso after the Azzurri lost to Bosnia in the World Cup playoffs – meaning it was the third successive tournament the European powerhouses failed to qualify for.
As for Belgium, Mark van Bommel replaced Rudi Garcia after the narrow 2-1 loss to Spain in the World Cup. This is Van Bommel’s first managerial gig since 2024 and he’ll be aiming to get the better of the Italians on MD1.
Italy Vs Belgium H2H Record
Italy and Belgium have faced each other on 26 occasions with the Azzurri boasting 17 wins. The Red Devils have just the four wins to their name with the last coming back in 2015. The last three H2H meetings – all coming in the Nations League – has ended in two wins for the Azzurri with the remainder seeing the shares spoiled.
Italy vs Belgium H2H record:
- Italy wins – 17
- Draws – 5
- Belgium wins – 4
Italy Vs Belgium Team News
Federico Dimarco, Bryan Cristante and Juventus captain Manuel Locatelli are ruled out injured for Italy. Alessandro Bastoni is also absent owing to suspension but Inter Milan wonderkid Pio Esposito is likely to start in attack.
Meanwhile, Belgium will be able to utilise the skill and expertise of Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne in their respective attacking and midfield roles. Premier League newbies Malick Fofana and Matias Fernandez-Pardo are pushing for valuable minutes by Man City’s Jeremy Doku will miss out through injury.
Italy Vs Belgium Predicted Lineups
Italy predicted lineup:
Donnarumma; Kayode, Mancini, Scalvini, Calafiori; Barella, Tonali, Frattesi; Inacio, P. Esposito, Raspadori
Belgium predicted lineup:
Lammens; Castagne, De Winter, Theate, De Cuyper; Tielemans, Lavia; Lukebakio, De Bruyne, Godts; Lukaku
Italy Vs Belgium Betting Angles
Key Match Stats
- Nations League stats – This will be the fourth meeting between the sides in the competition.
- Italy stats – The Azzurri are unbeaten in the last five H2H clashes.
- Belgium stats – Mark van Bommel’s side have only progressed to the finals stage on one occasion.
Top Betting Angles for Italy Vs Belgium
- Under 2.5 goals: Landed in five of Italy’s last six matches. Online at 1/1.
- BTTS (Yes): Five of Belgium’s last six matches saw both teams score. Our football betting markets have BTTS (Yes) available at 8/13.
- Anytime goalscorers: Romelu Lukaku (6/4), Francesco Esposito (19/10), Kevin De Bruyne (14/5) and Sandro Tonali (6/1) are worth considering.
Italy Vs Belgium Prediction
With both sides undergoing new eras, we are predicting a tight and potentially nervy affair in Rome. Italy’s third successive World Cup failure is still fresh whereas Belgium will be more than happy to cancel out their hosts.
Prediction: Italy 1-1 Belgium
If you intend to bet on Italy vs Belgium then please take the time to read through BetVictor’s safe and responsible gambling page which will provide good advice on how to stay in control when betting on football.
Any betting decisions should be made responsibly and there are no guarantees when it comes to match outcomes. All odds correct as of 10:30am on September 24, 2026 and are subject to change.
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