Bournemouth Welcome Manchester United To The South Coast For Friday Night Football
Vitality Stadium | Premier League | Friday March 20 | 8pm UK
Bournemouth Vs Manchester United Preview
Matchweek 31 starts with an intriguing clash between Bournemouth and Manchester United at the Vitality Stadium. The hosts are aiming to extend their 10-game unbeaten Premier League run which includes victories over Liverpool and Tottenham.
Not only that, the Cherries have conceded just eight goals and kept an impressive four clean sheets in that stretch. Their recovery after a patchy winter period has seen Andoni Iraola’s side catapult into European contention.
And after losing star man Antoine Semenyo in January, that is an extremely fine achievement to be in the running at the business end of the season. Although the Bournemouth vs Manchester United betting markets favour the visitors, Iraola knows his side have it in them to beat the Red Devils.
From Michael Carrick’s perspective, he’ll be well aware of the threat that the Cherries pose. Even more so as United haven’t beaten Bournemouth in the last five league outings. The reverse fixture ended in a extraordinary 4-4 draw but with Carrick’s side looking back to their best, they’ll arrive on the South Coast with a magnitude of confidence.
Which is something worth bearing in mind when it comes to Premier League betting on BetVictor. United are primed for a top four finish and can temporarily close the gap on Manchester City who occupy 2nd. The Cityzens aren’t in league action owing to their participation in the Carabao Cup final against Arsenal on March 22.
Bournemouth Vs Manchester United H2H Record
In their 25 competitive meetings, the Bournemouth vs Manchester United H2H record leans strongly in the Red Devils favour. To date, they have 14 wins in all competitions compared to the Cherries five. However, the last two meetings on the South Coast have ended in stalemate.
Rasmus Hojlund scored a 96th minute leveller last season to cancel out Antoine Semenyo’s opener. In 2023-24, the sides played out an entertaining 2-2 draw. Dominic Solanke and Justin Kluivert scored for the hosts with Bruno Fernandes hitting a brace for United.
Bournemouth wins – 5
Draws – 6
Manchester United wins – 14
Bournemouth’s Premier League Results
Overall this season, Bournemouth have recorded nine wins, 14 draws and just seven defeats. The L column is more favorable than the likes of Liverpool, Aston Villa and Chelsea – all of who sit higher than the Cherries in the standings.
In terms of goals, Andoni Iraola’s side have scored 43 and conceded the same number, leaving them in 10th spot going into Friday night’s clash. Bournemouth’s most impressive results include the 3-2 home wins over both Liverpool and Tottenham, the 4-4 away draw against Manchester United and 2-2 draw against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
Manchester United’s Premier League Results
Under the guidance of Ruben Amorim for the first-half of the season, Manchester United’s struggles were evident with just eight victories recorded. After his dismissal in early January, interim boss Michael Carrick has already overseen seven Premier League wins.
They included maximum points against Arsenal, Aston Villa and Manchester City. Overall this season, United have won a total of 15 games with nine draws and six defeats. They are currently third in the table on 54 points.
Such a turnaround in form has seen the Red Devils installed as the favourites to secure a Premier League top 4 outright finish in BetVictor’s football betting markets. Which in itself is a testament to the graft that Carrick has put into the playing squad.
Bournemouth Vs Manchester United Betting Angles
This is the standout data point from this preview, and it is too significant to ignore.
Both Bournemouth and Manchester United score the highest percentage of their goals in the 76-90 minute window. For Bournemouth, that period accounts for 26.67% of their goals. For United, it is 25.93%. Remarkably, both sides are also at their most vulnerable defensively in that same window.
There is more. Bournemouth pick up the majority of their yellow cards (20) in that period too, with United accumulating 11 late bookings. This match has all the ingredients for a frantic final quarter.
The smart money suggests looking at “Both Teams to Score in the Second Half” or a “Late Goal Scorer” market. If this game is level going into the final 20 minutes, the data strongly supports something happening.
Bournemouth Vs Manchester United xG Value Angle
Bournemouth have been genuinely unlucky in recent weeks. Generating over 1.9 xG in back-to-back home games and walking away with just a point against Brentford and Sunderland – nothing suggests the finishing has been off rather than the performances.
Manchester United, meanwhile, beat Aston Villa with an xG of just 1.07 vs 1.02. That is a tight margin, and it hints that the result was slightly flattering.
The value lies in recognising that the Cherries are performing better than their recent results suggest, while United’s win over Villa was closer than the scoreline implies.
Bournemouth Vs Manchester United Stats Summary
- Bournemouth clean sheets: 9
- Manchester United clean sheets: 5
- Peak scoring window (both teams): 76-90 minutes
- Last five H2H results: 4-4, 1-1, 3-0, 2-2, 3-0
- Bournemouth last five: DDDDW
- Manchester United last five: WLWWD
Bournemouth Vs Manchester United Team News And Predicted Lineups
The quartet of Justin Kluivert, Lewis Cook, Tyler Adams and Julio Soler are all set to miss out for Bournemouth. Andoni Iraola is likely to start an attacking trio of David Brooks, Marcus Tavernier and Rayan with Evanilson leading the line.
Meanwhile, Manchester United will be without Lisandro Martinez, Matthijs de Ligt and Patrick Dorgu. Up top, Bryan Mbeumo will spearhead the attack with Amad Diallo, Bruno Fernandes and Matheus Cunha in supporting roles.
Bournemouth predicted starting lineup:
Petrovic; Smith, Hill, Senesi, Truffert; Scott, Christie; Brooks, Tavernier, Rayan; Evanilson
Manchester United predicted starting lineup:
Lammens; Dalot, Yoro, Maguire, Shaw; Casemiro, Mainoo; Diallo, Fernandes, Cunha; Mbeumo
Bournemouth Vs Manchester United Prediction
A draw would not surprise anyone given the recent H2H pattern and Bournemouth’s current form. But if you are looking for a bet with genuine data backing, the late drama markets are where the interest lies this weekend.
And that is why we are going to sit on the fence and back an entertaining 2-2 draw. A result that won’t disappoint either side.
Prediction: Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United
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