T-Mobile Park will see a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (53-48) and the Los Angeles Angels (42-57) begin on Monday evening, with the first pitch between the pair scheduled for 9.40 p.m. We’ve taken a look at what to expect from the contest and made some predictions.
The Mariners will arguably take some hope heading into this three-game set as they lead across the series 4-3. However, they had to pull something special out of the bag on Sunday to avert a series sweep against the Astros. They ended up winning 6-4, but the Mariners had lost five in a row before their return to winning ways and had racked up a dismal five runs from four games. The over 8 runs paid out, which could be something to note.
The Angels could have also been on the end of a three-game sweep on Sunday had they not managed to rescue the series finale against the Oakland Athletics. They recorded an 8-5 victory, which got them back on track ahead of game one with the Mariners. The Angels’ average of 4.3 runs per game eclipsed what the Mariners were doing against the Astros, but they also allowed an average of 8.7 runs per game against. The overs market was the one to watch based on this.
Betting Insights
- In the sixty-three contests where the Mariners have been declared as favourites to win this season, they have delivered on the favourite tag thirty-six times or 57.1% of the time.
- When they’ve been -164 or more, according to the moneyline at sportsbooks, the Mariners have a 9-7 record, which is a 56.2% win rate.
- Heading into this one, the moneyline is set to imply a Mariners win has a 63.1% chance of happening.
- There have been eighty-five games when the Angels have been the underdogs this season, and they’ve managed to win thirty-seven of those fixtures, which is a 43.5% win ratio.
- The Angels have been at +138 or worse twenty-seven times this season and have won on nine occasions when this has been the case.
- There’s a 42% chance of an Angels win against the Mariners in game one, according to the moneyline.
The Prediction
The Mariners lead the season series 4-3, and in game one of this three-game series, we’re expecting them to extend that slightly further. However, we also don’t believe they will have it all their own way against the Angels.
Selecting a Mariners victory could be slightly concerning for some, as they had lost four in a row before their recent win. However, we feel they will just edge the Angels out here 3-2, and Bryce Miller could be the difference-maker.
We will also advocate for looking at the under-market rather than the over-market for this contest in particular and recommend the play being under 7.5. This would also allow for wiggle room in our score prediction too, which is a good thing.
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