18+ | begambleaware.org
Mediocrity meets magnificence. In recent years, this has been the running theme between these two northern powerhouses. City’s title chase is on once again, whilst United find themselves jostling amongst the mid-table merchants.
The Red Devils have been plagued by inconsistency- They’ve won 5 matches this season and lost 4. In other words, you’d get almost as good odds betting on a coin toss, than on whether Man United will put in a horror show. They have managed to string together back-to-back wins in the run up to this derby, however, they were only against Sheffield United and Brentford. Man City on the other hand are hot on table-toppers Spurs’ heels, amassing 21 points from 9 matches.
Although we hate to overlook the age-old adage (that even Pep said back in 2019), anything can happen on derby day, we envisage a sea of blue dominance at Old Trafford this weekend.
The last five Premier League meetings between these too have seen a staggering 21 goals, averaging out at 4.2 goals per game. For this reason, we think there’s value in taking both/either of the over 2.5 (8/11) and over 3.5 (9/5) goals markets this Sunday.
After a relatively slow goal-scoring start to the season, by his own incredibly high standards, Haaland seems to be back firing on all cylinders. He bagged a brace away to Young Boys midweek and scored the second goal in Man City’s 2-1 win against Brighton. He’s priced at 8/11 to score anytime, which seems a decent enough price for someone as prolific as him. In addition to this, he’s 31/40 to have 2+ shots on target against a Man United that is likely to be on the backfoot from the get-go.
